Overnight we saw Adelaide prevail at home over Geelong with the Crows getting home by 15 points. Rory Sloane who earlier this week signed a lucrative 5 year deal with Adelaide was excellent for the home side while former Crow Patrick Dangerfield stood out for the visitors.
Friday night Footy sees two of the disappointments of 2018 in Saint Kilda and Carlton face off. The Blues were belted by Brisbane last week while Saint Kilda lowered their colours at the hands of Port Adelaide. Overall Saint Kilda have shown more for longer this season and they head into this clash as a $1.31 favourite with the Blues a $3.55 outsider. I don’t have any great faith in either of these two sides to be honest and personally I won’t be betting on the outcome. One thing I am more sure of is the progression of young Blues Key Forward Charlie Curnow. He is a Star in the making and I’ll back him to be the First Goal Scorer for Carlton at $4.50 and to kick the most goals in the match at $4.50.
For my multi this week I need Melbourne to win by 16 or more, Essendon to win by 16 points or more and Port Adelaide and Collingwood to win. The multi price is $3.46. If you would like to make it bigger you could include Hawthorn and Richmond to win which swells the price to $6.54.
In my ongoing search for value in the First Goal Scorer markets I will stick with Ben Brown at $7, Josh Kennedy at $7, Jesse Hogan at $8.50 and Daniel Rioli at $14 to be the First Goalscorers in their matches.
I’ll take a multi which requires South Sydney to win by 6 points or more into Melbourne and Brisbane to win. The multi is paying $3.44.
2018 WORLD CUP
I think France will prove a touch too classy for Croatia in the World Cup Final. Happy to include them in some multis at $1.91 to win in normal time. I will also be backing Kylian Mbappe to be the first goal scorer at $5.50.
I will opt for a multi which needs Novak Djokovic to defeat Rafael Nadal in their semi-final and Serena Williams to win the Women’s Final. The multi is paying $2.80.
In the UFC this weekend I’ll take a multi which relies on Junior Dos Santos, Dennis Bermudez and Alexander Volkanovski to win their bouts. The multi is paying $2.78.
My best bets of the weekend are as follows :
Caulfield Saturday Race 3 Number 14 Mantastic (TABtouch Fixed Odds Price $2.35) : Consistent type who has had 5 career starts for a win and 4 placings. Both runs back from a break have been excellent and looks primed to win this third up for the preparation. Deserves another win and this looks his chance.
Caulfield Saturday Race 5 Number 3 Rilito (TABtouch Fixed Odds Price $1.90) : Quality mare who has won 4 of 6 over this distance and last time out was a comfortable winner at this track and distance. Only has to reproduce her most recent performance to be getting the cash again here. Retains the services of the white hot Craig Williams who rode 6 winners on the card last week. Tough to beat.
Rosehill Saturday Race 7 Number 3 Dreamforce (TABtouch Fixed Odds Price $4.70): Has had 17 career starts for 7 wins and 6 placings and is back in tip top order with his two runs back from a break producing a win and a close up second. At 6 tries over this distance has managed 3 wins and 2 placings and has a great record at this venue as well. Looks a super each way play.
Belmont Saturday Race 1 Number 2 The Velvet King (TABtouch Fixed Odds Price $1.95) : Made an auspicious debut here a fortnight ago on a soft surface when blowing away his rivals to blitz home and win by 6.25 lengths. Should once again have the sting out of the surface with the rain we have received over the past couple of days and if he can run up to his first up effort should take a power of beating. The clear danger looks to be Kelly’s Calisto and like the first last week I think we can nail the Quinella to start the day.
Belmont Saturday Race 4 Number 2 It’s It (TABtouch Fixed Odds Price $5.00) : Belmont specialist who has had 21 starts here for 5 wins and 10 placings. Unplaced at 3 runs back but they have all been in much tougher and has been close up at 2 of them. Drops significantly in class here and with the claim for Kirby gets in with 57.5 kilograms. Looks a great each way bet.